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« Santa Rally Should Pop Tomorrow | Main | Santa Rally Retail Update: Is a January Disappointment Now Inevitable? »

Tuesday, December 22, 2009


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"Now it may be the time to rotate out."

I was thinking the same thing and I would love to read other peoples take on it. I don't know that I would read too much into the year end flows, but I would be watching carefully early January.

Personally, I don't see rates climbing too high with the dollar rallying - but then again - they are so far!



I've been working on a hypothesis on how rates can rise and the dollar can rally:

Rates increase because the debt of US is becoming more "risky" as of the amount of it being issued rises.

Dollar can rally because investors (US and overseas) need to hold something that is "safer" than debt. That safety would be found in the most stable currency in the world--the dollar (nevermind the price fluctuations, I'm talking ability to to make good on the currency).

So, there you have it, a higher interest environment and stronger dollar.


vipul garg

a global buying panic in equities should be coming


What do you need to buy stuff with?

A third of a third seems set for the ten year.

Roger D.

This morning the SPX hit 1121,looks to be the final thrust up and the wave off the top looks motive down.


Elliott Wave God

yeah i count five waves down

but i can also count three waves down

it's easy to do either

so i am cautiously neutral with a slight bullish bias tempered by a strong bearish bent

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