NEW UPDATE: When this first posted, I used a graphic from Information is Beautiful which compared Co2 emitted by the unpronounceable volcano to the Co2 not being emitted by grounded airplanes. My first update corrected their info, and this update corrects their graphic. Also, the NYT has tried to let us know how to pronounce "Eyjafjallajokull" using this guide:
- “Eyja” is the Icelandic word for island
- “Fjalla” means mountain
- “Jokull” is glacier
Amazing animation from ZH shows the swirling volcano plume covering Northern Europe, spreading to Russia, and spiraling backwards towards Newfoundland. We probably all know people stranded in Europe, waiting to get out - or trying to return. A friend looking for opportunities in Sierre Leone just got back to London before flights shut down. Another friend was flying back from a vacation in Ireland as the volcano erupted, and could see it from the left side of the airplane. Lucky timing. Eurocontrol has updates. Apparently if you can make it to Rome or other Club Med cities, you have a chance of flying home.
Troubling implications from this. Everyone thinks this blows over quickly. What happens if this eruption continues for 13 months, as the last eruption (in 1822) did? Lufthansa sent 10 jumbo jets up to see what the effects would be, and found no harm. KLM is also reported to be testing flights near the ash layer, to see if it is thin enough to allow flights to recommence. If not, routes have to be reconfigured and the economic dislocation will mount.
Curiously, while this should cool the planet if it continues due to putting aerosols in the upper atmosphere, it is also reducing Co2 emissions! Volcanoes do put out a lot of Co2, but planes over Europe put out more. Original chart from Information is Beautiful, updated chart here:
UPDATE 4/20: The original chart above turns out to be misleading. The small pyramid above should be increased to be about the size of the inverted pyramid of saved emissions. It is still less than total Euro airplane emissions, although note that that many planes around the Club Med part of Europe are still flying.
The estimate of Co2 is too low by an order of magnitude: estimates from the UK place it at between 150,000 and 300,000 tonnes/day, not the original chart's 15,000, based on a prior eruption in Iceland. (A metric tonne is very close to the same as a British ton and slightly larger than a US ton.)
To put these Co2 amount in perspective, the Herald Sun in Australia commented it is more than the Rudd government is trying to save in carbon limits. Australia emits around 400M tonnes a year, or a little over 1M tonnes/day, meaning the volcano is spewing about 1/4 of Australian emissions a day.
glad i am short - though a bit much in the red
Posted by: bob m | Sunday, April 18, 2010 at 06:21 PM
DG,
What do you know about a volcano?
Did you and your boyfriend Neely discuss this during the weekend?
Since you are an expert on everything but the stock market, I would love to hear your point of view
GLN
Posted by: Your Dad DG | Sunday, April 18, 2010 at 07:43 PM
Attended my first tea party here in Colorado. Didn't participate but listened intently.
Message was simple:
People want far less government. People were not put on earth to service government.
It was a very simple message and I came away thinking the movement has real legs. Any one who campaigns on this message will get my vote.
Hock
Posted by: Hockthefarm | Sunday, April 18, 2010 at 08:09 PM
What do you know about a volcano?
I know that if you and I were walking along the rim of one, I'd push you in and not think twice about it.
Posted by: DG | Sunday, April 18, 2010 at 09:01 PM
Yelnick,
I like the CO2 emission link. Thanks!
Here's an update of SPX & Shanghai Composite:
http://trendlines618.blogspot.com/2010/04/s-short-term-impulsive-decline.html
http://trendlines618.blogspot.com/2010/04/shanghai-composite-short-term-wave-d.html
Posted by: trendlines | Sunday, April 18, 2010 at 10:39 PM
'UK Prime Minister Cites "Moral Bankruptcy" at Goldman Sachs' (from previous post). Brown will do anything, and I mean ABSOLUTELY ANYTHING to strike a popular chord with the people just at the moment. In fact the amounts involved with Goldman pale into insignificance when compared to the amount of money that he has mishandled creating a short term 'sugar high' in an attempt that his party gets re-elected in a few weeks time. And with him, the result is probably nearer to absolute bankruptcy. It is just another deceit. Thankfully, each time he opens his mouth now he draws a flat line response. People with any intelligence have simply stopped believing / believing in him.
Posted by: Chabazite | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 01:12 AM
that was good DG, I am going to be laughing for a few days.
Posted by: roger z | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 06:47 AM
>Attended my first tea party<
So did I. I came away thinking they had no clue. Seemed like an old time revival meeting. All god and patriotism, no substance.
Posted by: Mamma Boom Boom | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 07:18 AM
For 2 years small investors were complaining about GS and their manipulation, nothing happened. I am betting this is going to be swept under a rug, with perhaps one or two people getting nailed to the cross.
Posted by: Aramis- | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 09:05 AM
MBB:
So did I. I came away thinking they had no clue. Seemed like an old time revival meeting. All god and patriotism, no substance.
Interesting. I guess it all depends on who is running the show.
Here the message was very clear: We want less government in all ways. The way to lower taxes and a balanced budget is fewer government employees and self funded pensions. I'd like to see the numbers cut in half in terms of head count. The way to do that is to starve government. The voters in CA got that right.
Hock
Posted by: Hockthefarm | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 09:39 AM
And DG would say to himself.....sorry guys, I thought that was water at the bottom.
On another note, everybody should do as I have done and withdraw all funds from the big a-hole banks. They are run by pimps and their whores are in Washington. Meanwhile, Obama is giving the American taxpayer a BJ for a low, low price of 10 trillion of debt over the next 10 years. Talk about sh&t for brains. That would be our president!!!
Posted by: MHD | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 10:50 AM
Somehow MHD, I can't help think that you have voted for past presidents who would have benefitted from having at least a little sh&t for brains. But that's just me.
Posted by: simpleton | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 11:22 AM
"Meanwhile, Obama is giving the American taxpayer a BJ for a low, low price of 10 trillion of debt over the next 10 years. Talk about sh&t for brains. That would be our president!!!" - MHD
What a surprise.
Yet another absurd post by the message board "Clown".
Politics aside, my guess is that this poster didn't have a problem with George Bush when he chose to invade Iraq and not account for the cost of the $1.1 Trillion dollar war ( as of FY-2012 ) in the Budget.
I bet he didn't have a problem with George Bush when he pushed for (and signed into law) the "Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003" which was the single biggest entitlement in decades with a cost of $727 BILLION over 9 years, and didn't even give the federal government any volume pricing power over the drug companies, nor was their any increase in taxes to help pay for the subsidy.
I also bet this poster didn't have a problem with George Bush and the lack of his veto pen as we watched our National Debt virtually double during his 8 years in office, from $5.73 Trillion to $10.7 Trillion.
This "disease" seems to run in the Bush Family given that his Daddy, Herbert Walker Bush ran up the National Debt by $1.47 Trililion in one single Presidential term.
Posted by: marketman | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 02:04 PM
"So did I. I came away thinking they had no clue. Seemed like an old time revival meeting. All god and patriotism, no substance."
Sorry, folks, they DO have more than a clue, which is infinitely more than our thug President and his thug czars and Congressthiefs. What the HELL do you want people to do at the Tea Parties? If they behave nicely, and protest quietly, then it's a "revival". If they would get boisterous, they will be labeled as "seditious" by the sickening folks at MSNBC.
Or by trolls such as yourselves.
Yeah, ok, Bush was no good on spending, but Obama and his admin of thieves and liars and crooks has quadrupled the deficit in ONE FREAKIN' YEAR, and are intent on raising that every chance they get. And then they are in the process of raising every tax they can legally or illegally (unconstitutionally) get their hands on...while lying about it in the same breath.
And you trolls will follow him off the edge of the cliff. I can't believe his poll numbers, which are taking that cliff dive, are as GOOD as they are! He's a total and complete disaster, worst President bar none.
Posted by: Maurice | Monday, April 19, 2010 at 05:40 PM